Tale of the Tape: Game 2
Max Scherzer
Tigers
Clay Buchholz
Red Sox
2013 regular season
Overall: 32 GS, 21-3, 2.90 ERA, 56 BB, 240 SO Overall: 16 GS, 12-1, 1.74 ERA, 36 BB, 96 SO
Key stat: Scherzer dominated against right-handed hitters this season, holding them to a .165 batting average and .275 slugging percentage. Key stat: After returning from a neck injury, Buchholz is 3-1 and has only allowed eight earned runs in 30 innings over the last month.
At Fenway Park
2013: 1 GS, 0-1, 2.57 ERA
Career: 4 GS, 1-2, 3.86 ERA
2013: 9 GS, 6-1, 1.99 ERA
Career: 58 G, 57 GS, 27-14, 3.39 ERA
Against this opponent
2013: 2 GS, 1-1, 2.57 ERA
Career: 8 GS, 2-4, 7.02 ERA
2013: N/A
Career: 8 GS, 2-1, 3.58 ERA
Loves to face: Mike Napoli, 1-for-13, 5 K
Hates to face:: David Ortiz, 7-for-15, 1 2B, 3 HR
Loves to face: Victor Martinez, 0-for-6
Hates to face:: Alex Avila, 3-for-8, 2 2B, 3 BB
Game Breakdown
Why he'll win: Scherzer, the favorite to win the AL Cy Young Award, went 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in the ALDS. Why he'll win: Buchholz doesn't need much run support. The Red Sox are 13-1 this year when scoring at least three runs in a game started by Buchholz.
Pitcher beware: Scherzer lost to the Red Sox in early September at Fenway, allowing two runs on five hits in seven innings. Pitcher beware: Buchholz wasn't at his sharpest in Game 3 of the ALDS vs. the Rays, giving up three runs in six innings.
Bottom line: Scherzer has been strong on the road this year, going 8-2 with a 2.44 ERA, but will have to be sharp to limit the Red Sox. Bottom line: Buchholz has limited hitters to a .158 batting average with runners on base this year, and will need to continue the trend against the Tigers.