CLOSE

Now Commenting On:

{"content":["first-year_player_draft" ] }

Mock 1.0: Predicting Round 1 of the Draft

Mock 1.0: Predicting Round 1 of the Draft

Mock 1.0: Predicting Round 1 of the Draft play video for Mock 1.0: Predicting Round 1 of the Draft
If ever there was a fool's errand, projecting the entire first round of the First-Year Player Draft more than two weeks before it takes place is it.

In the past, we've eased into it, starting off with the top 10 and working up to the full first round as the Draft neared. But this time, we'll try to predict all 33 picks of the first round at once.

Live coverage of the 2011 First-Year Player Draft begins with a one-hour preview show on Monday, June 6, at 6 p.m. ET on MLB.com and MLB Network, followed by the first round and supplemental compensation round. MLB.com will provide exclusive coverage of Days 2 and 3, featuring a live pick-by-pick stream, expert commentary and Draft Tracker, a live interactive application that includes a searchable database of every Draft-eligible player. You can also keep up to date at Draft Central and by following @MLBDraft on Twitter. And get into the Draft conversation by tagging your tweets with #mlbdraft.

More

There obviously is still much to be determined with who goes where in this opening round. There's baseball still being played, especially at the college level. Big league teams are still fine-tuning their plans, and prospect signability will continue to play a role in their decisions. For now, the hope is to have a good sense of who the first-rounders are likely to be and to put names with teams that, at this point, are plausible. There will be updates to come as the picture becomes more clear. For now, though, here it goes, and be sure to check out Prospect Watch for the Draft Top 50, complete with scouting reports and video:

1. Pittsburgh Pirates: Gerrit Cole, RHP, UCLA
There are questions regarding his recent performance, but the power stuff is still there, and he's got a good track record. The Pirates are still looking at Anthony Rendon and Danny Hultzen in the college ranks, as well as discussing high schoolers Dylan Bundy, Bubba Starling and perhaps even Archie Bradley.

2. Seattle Mariners: Dylan Bundy, RHP, Owasso HS, Okla.
The top high-school pitcher has done nothing to lose that title. There's been talk about a very high price tag, but most believe he wants to play. The Mariners will likely look at all the players mentioned above as well.

Draft Central

3. Arizona Diamondbacks: Danny Hultzen, LHP, Virginia
Same candidates apply. Hultzen has pitched his way to the top of the Draft and wouldn't take a ton of time to be big league ready.

4. Baltimore Orioles: Anthony Rendon, 3B, Rice
Questions about Rendon's shoulder issues have put his status up in the air. If those questions are answered positively, he won't last long.

5. Kansas City Royals: Francisco Lindor, SS, Montverde Academy, Fla.
The Royals are looking hard at college pitchers, and there's a lot of chatter about local product Starling, an outfielder from Kansas. Both are possibilities, as is Lindor, a premium high-school talent at a premium position.

6. Washington Nationals: Archie Bradley, RHP, Broken Arrow HS, Okla.
After a slow start, Bradley has come on strong to be right there with fellow Oklahoman Bundy. Another big price tag is being mentioned, but a future rotation with Bradley behind Stephen Strasburg sounds good.

7. Arizona Diamondbacks: Trevor Bauer, RHP, UCLA
The D-backs could take Bauer at No. 3 if things fall different, but for now, they'll get a bounty of college pitching. This pick is unprotected because it's compensation for not signing 2010 first-rounder Barret Loux, so they must sign whomever they select.

8. Cleveland Indians: Jed Bradley, LHP, Georgia Tech
The Tribe has selected college pitchers in the first round the past two years. Bradley could be the third in a row.

9. Chicago Cubs: Bubba Starling, OF, Gardner-Edgerton HS, Kan.
There's a good chance this toolsy two-sport outfielder will be gone before this spot, but the Cubs would love it if he were still on the board.

10. San Diego Padres: Sonny Gray, RHP, Vanderbilt
It's certainly no guarantee the Padres will go the college route with this unprotected pick, but there are some awfully good collegiate arms from which to choose.

11. Houston Astros: Taylor Jungmann, RHP, Texas
It's a mistake to try and peg the Astros as going one direction or the other (college vs. high school), but a Texas kid who could get to Houston quickly might be too enticing to pass up.

12. Milwaukee Brewers: Matt Barnes, RHP, Connecticut
The first of two picks, Milwaukee can almost bundle them if it so chooses, starting with Barnes in this spot.

13. New York Mets: Alex Meyer, RHP, Kentucky
The parallels to Matt Harvey -- the Mets' top pitching prospect -- are almost uncanny. That one's worked out so far, so why not go down that path again?

14. Florida Marlins: Mikie Mahtook, OF, Louisiana State
In a thin year for college hitters, Mahtook is one who has stood out by putting up very good numbers, despite the new NCAA bats.

15. Milwaukee Brewers: Taylor Guerrieri, RHP, Spring Valley HS, S.C.
If the Brewers believer Guerrieri will go 13th or 14th, they might take the high schooler with their first pick. This selection is unprotected.

16. Los Angeles Dodgers: Josh Bell, OF, Dallas Jesuit HS, Texas
The Dodgers like high-school pitchers, so they could look at a number of them who will still be on the board. But Bell is a legitimate switch-hitter who will swing the bat more than well enough to handle a corner-outfield spot.

17. Los Angeles Angels: Javier Baez, SS, Arlington Country Day HS, Fla.
Baez will likely have to move over to third base, but he's got enough tools to profile well at the hot corner.

18. Oakland A's: George Springer, OF, Connecticut
A slow start concerned some, as have some questions about his hitting mechanics, but Springer has come on strong to be one of the better offensive performers in this college class.

19. Boston Red Sox: Blake Swihart, C, Cleveland HS, N.M.
Swihart is one of the better high-school hitters, but word is he'll come with a big price tag. So, naturally, everyone thinks this spot, with this team, makes sense.

20. Colorado Rockies: Kolten Wong, 2B, Hawaii
An advanced college hitter who can run, it won't take Wong too long to be big league ready.

21. Toronto Blue Jays: Tyler Anderson, LHP, Oregon
Anderson fits the mold of the quintessential college lefty, complete with outstanding command and an expected quick path to the big leagues.

22. St. Louis Cardinals: Dillon Howard, RHP, Searcy HS, Ark.
Taking Shelby Miller (who leads the Florida State League in strikeouts) in the 2009 first round seems to be working out, so another projectable right-hander could be the way to go.

23. Washington Nationals: Daniel Norris, LHP, Science Hill HS, Tenn.
This would give the Nationals two outstanding high-school pitchers in the first round. Norris is the top prep-school left-hander.

24. Tampa Bay Rays: Robert Stephenson, RHP, Alhambra HS, Calif.
Perhaps a small step behind the elite high-school right-handers, Stephenson isn't too far behind, with arm strength to spare.

25. San Diego Padres: Levi Michael, SS, North Carolina
College middle infielders are in short supply, and even if the Padres think Michael will eventually have to move over to second base, they might consider taking him here.

26. Boston Red Sox: Andrew Susac, C, Oregon State
A broken hamate bone shelved the draft-eligible sophomore, but he's got some pop, something that's always a hot commodity among catchers.

27. Cincinnati Reds: Brandon Nimmo, OF, Cheyenne East HS, Wyo.
The Wyoming kid without a high-school team has some serious tools and lit it up in front of a lot of scouts recently, which could mean he'll be gone before this pick.

28. Atlanta Braves: Jose Fernandez, RHP, Alonso HS, Fla.
A live arm with a good feel for pitching might have Fernandez gone before this point, but if he's around, the Braves like developing young pitching.

29. San Francisco Giants: John Stilson, RHP, Texas A&M
Stilson looked like a solid college reliever, but has shown people this spring that maybe he's a starter, moving him into the first-round picture.

30. Minnesota Twins: Cory Spangenberg, 3B/RHP, Indian River State (Fla.)
Most think college pitching when they think Twins, but Minnesota is not afraid of a pure bat like Spangenberg's.

31. Tampa Bay Rays: C.J. Cron, 1B, Utah
Sure, the Rays like players with high ceilings, but with all the picks they hold, taking an outstanding advanced college hitter who can move quickly makes sense.

32. Tampa Bay Rays: Henry Owens, LHP, Edison HS, Calif.
Owens' star has faded a bit, and he could slide out of the first round, but the SoCal lefty still has some pretty good stuff.

33. Texas Rangers: Brian Goodwin, OF, Miami Dade College
The Rangers like athletes, and Goodwin fits the bill, showing glimpses of all five tools.

Jonathan Mayo is a reporter for MLB.com and writes a blog, B3. Follow @JonathanMayoB3 on Twitter. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.

Less
{"content":["first-year_player_draft" ] }
{"content":["first-year_player_draft" ] }