-- Old real estate agent's proverb
Most modern-day baseball fans understand ballpark factors -- the idea that some stadiums are more conducive toward scoring runs than others. This is an easy concept to grasp, and over the last 10 years, it has even permeated the most unlikely of spaces (which is to say, local radio call-in shows).
Unlike many ideas associated with objective analysis, park illusions always seem to play a tangible role in the game. After all, who hasn't yelled out in a fit of dire frustration, "That ball would be in the stands if this wasn't Dodger Stadium!"
The thing is, when it comes to forecasting athlete performance, most fans still underestimate just how much context can influence a player's statistics. From the league to the division to the city they call home, every bit of context has an effect on a player's ability -- both positively and negatively -- to produce.
As a result, the best baseball analysis factors in every one of these variables -- from place in the batting order to the manager's platoon preferences -- in order to get a complete look at how someone will perform. After all, if you're not accounting for how much easier it is to hit in the Great American Ball Park than Safeco Field, you're missing a pretty big piece of the puzzle. And when it comes to projecting a player's season numbers, it's the details that make the difference.
With that in mind, here are the Top 5 hitters switching locales this offseason, and how this change of scenery affects his newly-updated PROTRADE.com fantasy projection.
(Note: Statistical lines highlighted in yellow are 2007 projections with the player's previous team. Lines in bold are updated for his correct 2007 franchise.)
|J.D. Drew (RF, Boston Red Sox)|
|Juan Pierre (CF, LA Dodgers)|
|Alfonso Soriano (CF, Chicago Cubs)|
|Gary Sheffield (RF, Detroit Tigers)|
|Carlos Lee (LF, Houston Astros)|
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