Of course, there were plenty of reasons not to run, not limited to a 2-0 count in Gonzalez's favor; Gonzalez is a lefty, so Padres catcher Derek Norris an unobstructed throw, plus the numbers (Gonzalez entered with a .360 batting average against Shields and was already 1-for-2), and the adage that one shouldn't make the last out of an inning at third. But LeMahieu ran anyhow.
"I was just overthinking the situation and got a bad jump, and just took us right out of an inning," LeMahieu said. "Not the smartest baseball there, for sure."
LeMahieu is one of the National League's best at the art of stolen bases. Last year, he finished sixth in the league (Fangraphs) in weighted stolen bases at 3.1, meaning the estimated number of runs scored his steals were worth. Some had far more steals, but his tended to have meaning. He is 5-for-7 this year, but his desire to reach third Monday proved costly.
There were no guarantees had LeMahieu reached third and Story second (he read the play from behind and took off for second). Ben Paulsen's double-play grounder and his flyout to deep center in the sixth came with a runner at third.
LeMahieu wanted to think ahead. He was either too far ahead or not far enough to stop himself.
"I just thought if we get Nolan [Arenado] up with the bases loaded -- they'd probably pitch around CarGo with first base empty. … Like I said, overthinking the situation," LeMahieu said.
Thomas Harding has covered the Rockies since 2000, and for MLB.com since 2002. Follow him on Twitter @harding_at_mlb, listen to podcasts and like his Facebook page. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.