MLB.com Columnist

Jonathan Mayo

Order set for 2015 Draft

D-backs to make first overall pick; Astros have highest estimated bonus pool

Order set for 2015 Draft

Barring the trade of a Competitive Balance pick, the final piece of the puzzle has been placed. The order is set for the 2015 First-Year Player Draft.

The last variable was the signing of free agent James Shields. The Padres inked the right-hander to a four-year deal, removing one last question mark about who will be picking where when the Draft begins on June 8. With the signing, the Padres forfeit the No. 13 pick. The Royals, who had made a qualifying offer to Shields, receive a compensation pick, slotted in at No. 33 overall.

After a busy offseason of free-agent signings, there are 26 picks in the first-round proper, as five teams forfeited their Round 1 selections -- the Padres, the Mets (for Michael Cuddyer), the Blue Jays (for Russell Martin), the Mariners (for Nelson Cruz) and the Washington Nationals (for Max Scherzer). There are 10 compensation picks as a result of free-agent signings.

In addition to the above-mentioned signings, picks were given to the Atlanta Braves (Ervin Santana signing with the Twins), the Toronto Blue Jays (Melky Cabrera signing with the White Sox), the New York Yankees (David Robertson signing with the White Sox), the San Francisco Giants (Pablo Sandoval signing with the Red Sox) and the Los Angeles Dodgers (Hanley Ramirez signing with the Red Sox).

A team with a top 10 pick in the first round does not forfeit that pick for signing a free agent, instead giving up its next-highest selection. As a result, the Red Sox have given up their second-round and Competitive Balance Round B picks, the Twins gave up a second-rounder and the White Sox forfeited their second- and third-round picks.

With the Draft order set, a much better picture of Draft bonus pools can be drawn. According to estimated figures obtained by MLB.com, Draft pick values will increase by around 9 percent in 2015. A year ago, the value assigned to the No. 1 pick was $7,922,100. This year, the top pick, held by the Arizona Diamondbacks, has an estimated value of $8,657,300.

The Houston Astros will once again have the highest pool total. While they don't pick No. 1 after having the top selection in three straight seasons, they will pick No. 2 (compensation for not signing top pick Brady Aiken last year) and No. 5, the first time a team has ever had two selections in the top five. As a result of that, and a Compensation Round A pick received via trade from the Marlins, Houston has an approximated pool of $17,370,400. The Colorado Rockies, who have 12 picks in the top 10 rounds, like the Astros do, have the second-highest estimated pool at $14,055,600. The D-backs ($13,694,200), Rangers ($9,142,100) and Braves ($8,402,700) round out the top five.

In 2014, the Marlins were the only team to go over $10 million in the top 10 rounds, handing out $11,043,400 in bonuses. The Astros had the largest pool, at $13,362,200, but spent less than $5 million of it when they didn't sign Aiken or fifth-rounder Jacob Nix. This year, there are three teams that could top the eight-figure bonus plateau without incurring penalties.

Some teams will have to wait quite a long time to get a chance to add to their farm systems. The Mets don't pick until the second round, No. 53 overall. The Nationals make their first pick at No. 58, compensation for not signing second-rounder Andrew Suarez last year, so they have two second-round picks. The Mariners get their first crack at the Class of 2015 at pick No. 60. As a result, the Mets have the smallest estimated bonus pool of all 30 teams ($3,604,500), with the Nationals ($4,122,000) and Mariners ($4,206,500) not far ahead.

DRAFT ORDER
(Team: Estimated pick value)
Round 1
1. ARI: $8,657,300
2. HOU: $7,454,900
3. COL: $6,252,500
4. TEX: $5,050,000
5. HOU $4,208,400
6. MIN: $3,907,700
7. BOS: $3,607,200
8. CWS: $3,486,900
9. CHC: $3,366,700
10. PHI: $3,246,500
11. CIN: $3,156,300
12. MIA: $3,066,100
13. TB: $2,976,000
14. ATL: $2,855,700
15. MIL: $2,705,300
16. NYY: $2,555,200
17. CLE: $2,404,800
18. SF: $2,344,700
19. PIT: $2,284,500
20. OAK: $2,224,400
21. KC: $2,194,500
22. DET: $2,164,300
23. STL: $2,134,300
24. LAD: $2,104,200
25. BAL: $2,074,100
26. LAA: $2,044,100
Compensation picks
27. COL: $2,014,000
28. ATL: $1,984,000
29. TOR: $1,953,900
30. NYY: $1,923,900
31. SF: $1,893,800
32. PIT: $1,863,700
33. KC: $1,833,700
34. DET: $1,803,600
35. LAD: $1,764,300
36. BAL: $1,720,000
Teams with first pick in Round 2
53. NYM: $1,148,100
58. WSH: $1,063,100
60. SEA: $1,030,700

BONUS POOLS (Picks in Rounds 1-10):
1. HOU $17,370,400 (12)
2. COL $14,055,600 (12)
3. ARI $13,694,200 (11)
4. TEX $9,142,100 (10)
5. ATL $8,402,700 (11)
6. NYY $7,922,200 (11)
7. CIN $7,814,300 (11)
8. MIL $7,780,100 (11)
9. BAL $7,713,500 (12)
10. SF $7,550,800 (11)
11. PIT $7,427,000 (11)
12. MIN $7,423,500 (10)
13. STL $7,422,400 (12)
14. CHC $7,270,100 (10)
15. CLE $7,267,900 (11)
16. KC $7,240,400 (11)
17. DET $7,147,700 (11)
18. PHI $7,091,600 (10)
19. LAD $6,987,100 (11)
20. MIA $6,798,100 (10)
21. TB $6,622,100 (10)
22. BOS $6,252,700 (9)
23. OAK $5,469,500 (10)
24. TOR $5,436,400 (10)
25. CWS $5,372,400 (8)
26. SD $5,201,800 (10)
27. LAA $5,073,700 (10)
28. SEA $4,206,500 (10)
29. WSH $4,122,000 (10)
30. NYM $3,604,500 (9)
TOTAL $224,883,300 (315)

Jonathan Mayo is a reporter for MLBPipeline.com and writes a blog, B3. Follow @JonathanMayoB3 on Twitter. This story was not subject to the approval of Major League Baseball or its clubs.