Home Run To Fly Ball Ratio (HR/FB)

Definition

Home-run-to-fly-ball ratio is the rate at which home runs are hit against a pitcher for every fly ball he allows. It's as simple as the name makes it sound. The league average HR/FB ratio is usually slightly below 10 percent.

For example, if a pitcher faces 25 batters -- 10 of whom hit fly balls -- and he surrenders one home run, his HR/FB ratio is 10 percent.

The formula:

Home runs / total fly balls, including home runs.

Example

Watch: Joe Beimel allows three straight home runs, causing his HR/FB to increase substantially.

Why it's useful:

Research shows that the HR/FB ratio of individual pitchers can vary greatly from year to year. That means pitchers with high HR/FB ratios have generally -- but not always -- experienced some bad luck.

Fantasy advantage:

Because HR/FB ratios tend to regress toward the league average, pitchers who have allowed many fly balls -- but few long balls -- are likely due for an uptick in homer allowance. The opposite holds true for hurlers who have allowed few fly balls but many homers.